Baker Hughes Heading to $65
With Schlumberger (SLB) and Halliburton (HAL) posting better-than-expected third-quarter earnings results, it certainly seems as if business conditions in North America has taken a turn for the better. That certainly bodes well for Baker Hughes (BHI), which enjoys roughly 50% of its revenue from that region.
While Baker Hughes has consistently been overlooked when discussing the "Big Three" within the energy services space, Baker Hughes stock has actually outperformed Schlumberger by 8%. It seems management is finally ready to take that extra step forward to produce the sort of results the Street has been waiting for. With growth having returned to North America and abroad, these shares still look undervalued by at least 10%.
I don't believe the Street has ever doubted that the energy sector -- which has been marred by weak oil prices and soft rig counts -- would rebound in a meaningful way. The question has been if/when the market did recover, would Baker Hughes regain its trading status as a strong oil producer as opposed to natural gas, where there has been some continued weakness? These and other questions were answered convincingly following the company's third-quarter earnings results, which included a 22% jump in profits.
Baker Hughes posted revenue of $5.8 billion, which advanced 5.5% year over year. While it's not on the level of Schlumberger's 9% growth, Baker Hughes outperformed Halliburton by almost 4%. Given that this sector has always been considered a "bottom line" business, Baker Hughes 22% profit increase was the best among the "Big Three." And I believe the company's management deserves a lot of credit.
Let's not forget, an increased amount of strain was added on the pressure-pumping business at the height of the natural-gas surplus. The company's management had come under quite a bit of scrutiny as a result of lower prices. Like Schlumberger and Halliburton, which were forced to shift operations to higher-cost areas like shale, Baker Hughes having outperformed both companies in profitability implies a higher level of execution, especially since shale is less efficient.